The FUTRE project is co-financed by
European Commission Directorate
General for Research & Innovation
as part of the 7th Framework Programme

WP 5 Scenarios for European transport futures

In WP5 findings from the demand-oriented research in WP3 are merged with the findings of supply oriented research from WP4. This will be done by developing at set of scenarios until 2030 and beyond, to illustrate how the European transport sector might develop under the framework of various challenges and targets to face these challenges. In a first step, qualitative-narrative framing scenarios will be developed in detail for Europe and less detailed for the rest of the world, with the support of external experts. In a second, quantification for the European transport sector will be based on the models ASTRA and POLES, to illustrate impacts in detail, to check for internal consistency of assumptions coming form WP3 and WP4 and to estimate to what extent the scenarios are able to meet the climate targets and targets of 2011 transport white paper. In a third step, the competitiveness of the European transport sector will be analysed for the different scenarios.